Arkansas State
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
320  Rexi Parcells SR 20:39
577  Abbey Dixon JR 21:03
821  Tilda Helgesson SR 21:21
1,169  Arnica Zitting FR 21:44
1,479  Bailey Eller SR 22:03
1,560  Heather Newberry SR 22:07
1,903  Chelsey Roberson SR 22:28
2,800  Brianne Murphy SO 23:35
2,899  Lindsey Mills SO 23:45
2,946  Zoie Wilson SO 23:50
3,205  Natasha Smallwood FR 24:24
3,340  Erin Nunan FR 24:48
National Rank #125 of 341
South Central Region Rank #9 of 35
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 11th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.2%
Top 10 in Regional 51.8%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Rexi Parcells Abbey Dixon Tilda Helgesson Arnica Zitting Bailey Eller Heather Newberry Chelsey Roberson Brianne Murphy Lindsey Mills Zoie Wilson Natasha Smallwood
Rhodes Invitational 09/27 1243 21:42 21:50 21:52 21:57 22:09 22:23 24:12 23:43 23:52 24:12
Chile Pepper Festival 10/04 1122 20:47 20:54 21:20 21:43 22:13 22:02 21:59 23:17 23:40 23:41
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/18 1093 20:39 20:46 21:20 21:53 22:01 22:35 22:49
UALR Invitational 10/18 1515 23:30 23:54 23:57 24:47
Sun Belt Conference Championships 11/02 1125 20:44 21:04 21:18 21:32 21:47 22:00 22:23 23:51
South Central Region Championships 11/14 1083 20:25 21:09 21:10 21:35 22:17 21:57 22:52





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 10.2 294 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.3 7.7 15.7 25.2 40.7 6.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rexi Parcells 0.2% 151.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rexi Parcells 25.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.9 3.0 2.9 4.0 4.4 5.2 5.3 5.5 5.8 5.8
Abbey Dixon 40.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.9
Tilda Helgesson 56.8 0.0
Arnica Zitting 77.7
Bailey Eller 92.8
Heather Newberry 95.6
Chelsey Roberson 113.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.0% 0.0 4
5 0.2% 0.2 5
6 0.7% 0.7 6
7 2.3% 2.3 7
8 7.7% 7.7 8
9 15.7% 15.7 9
10 25.2% 25.2 10
11 40.7% 40.7 11
12 6.3% 6.3 12
13 1.1% 1.1 13
14 0.1% 0.1 14
15 0.0% 0.0 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0